7-day Forecast. Starting Wednesday 14/03/2018

Could we see similar scenes to this one on Sunday? (snapped by Katrina Godfrey at the start of the month).

WEDNESDAY

Clear and bright at dawn, gradually clouding over through the morning and turning showery by lunchtime. The showers will come and go through the afternoon but then turn to persistent heavy rain between sunset and midnight.

The winds are still expected to bring mild air to us from the continent, but they aren’t looking quite as strong as previously forecast. The most comfortable area to take a walk will probably be between Pleinmont and L’Eree, and it should still be a great day on the water for windsurfers and kitesurfers.

For wave-surfers, the best time will probably be just before sunset, as the tide starts to recede and the first clean 2-3 foot swell starts to roll in.

Winds: Force 5-6 SSE’ly.

Temperatures: Daytime max 11C, Overnight min 8C.

Tides: Low of 3m at 11am, high of 7.9m at 5pm.

THURSDAY

After a dry and sunny morning, we will probably have some showers at lunchtime and then perhaps a few more in the afternoon. However, they are generally looking rather light and benign. Furthermore the wind-strength will be steadily reducing, so it’s going to feel pretty comfortable on the whole.

Surf-wise; the afternoon is looking really great, with clean six-footers steaming through, from about 2:30pm onwards.

Winds: Force 4-5 S’ly reducing to about force 2-3 as we head into the night.

Temperatures: Daytime max 11C, Overnight min 5C.

Tides: Low of 2.5m at 11:40am, high of 8.4m at 5:40pm.

FRIDAY

There is a slim chance of shallow mist or even a patchy frost at dawn, because the wind will be almost calm. It will stay light through the morning and not much stronger in the afternoon, so it’s really going to feel pleasant, especially because it looks as though the showers will be confined to the larger landmasses nearby, and we are much more likely to see blue sky and sunshine. Seize this moment because the weekend is looking much chillier.

Once again, the surf looking fantastic, with pristine six-footers rolling through from dawn until breakfast, then again during the late afternoon.

Winds: Light and variable, becoming SE’ly force 3 through the afternoon and then ENE’ly force 4-5 after midnight.

Temperatures: Daytime max 12C, Overnight min 6-7C.

Tides: Low of 1.9m at 12:20pm, highs of 8.7m at 6am and 6:20pm.

THE WEEKEND

Both days will have mostly cloudy skies. Saturday should be mostly dry but with isolated showers. Whereas Sunday’s showers will be rather more frequent and heavy.

The most important features of the story will be the new wind regime, and the effect this will have on the temperature and the precipitation. With a strong and steady ENE’ly (force 6-7), we are going to import air from ever deeper and colder parts of Eastern Europe.

Saturday will start off at about 6-7C and finish at about 4-5C; all the while feeling as though it’s about 6 or 7C cooler because of the wind-chill.

Sunday will start off at about 4C and finish at about 2C; and this time it’s not just going to suffer from the additional wind-chill but also from some of the white stuff. The higher parishes will probably see snow, whilst the lower parishes only see sleet. Due to the showery nature of this, any accumulations are likely to be small. My initial estimate is about 1-3cm in the higher parishes only, but keep an eye out for my update because this estimate may change.

MONDAY AND TUESDAY

Staying cold but becoming dry and mostly clear. Furthermore, the wind is expected to drop off to a gentle N’ly, meaning hard frosts overnight and at dawn, but then beautiful crisp sunshine through the daytime hours. To filter out what breeze there is, head down to the south coast, which will really transform the winter feeling to a spring one.

The next forecast update will be on Thursday evening.