As of this weekend, the onshore blast will switch from the west coast to the east, so scenes like this will be aplenty. Thanks to Mary D Carberry for this shot from last winter.
A slightly cooler day than the previous one, which will mean better visibility and probably a bit more brightness at times. That said, there will still be plenty of bubbly clouds scudding by on the fresh breeze, and every now and then a bigger one will drop a rather potent shower on us.
Once again, the high tide of the morning will be a messy one along the west coast. However, the waves will have much less size and power than the previous days, so it should feel like a slight relief. Surfers should find some fun waves (in the 6-8 foot range) at the southern end of Vazon after breakfast, and then again just before dark. If you like your waves a bit smaller than that then maybe try L’Ancresse in the late afternoon.
Winds: Force 6 WSW’ly through the morning and early afternoon, perhaps gale force 7 at times, then easing to force 5 SW’ly through the late afternoon and evening, then gradually falling light and variable overnight.
Temperatures: Daytime max generally 9C, but 10C in Town. Overnight min 6C.
Tides: Highs of 9.9m at 8:40am and 9.5m at 9:10pm. Low of 1.1m at 3:20pm.
Rather cloudy and wet for the most part, but this will possibly break up to reveal the odd sunny spell at times.
By the end of the day the wind will have flipped to the opposite side of the compass from previous days, bringing a chilly onshore flow to the north and east coasts. In contrast, the offshore flow along the south coast and at the northern ends of the west-coast bays will mean that the water is relatively smooth there.
There will still be some swell coming though from the previous strorms though, so surfers could find some really clean 4-6 feet waves down at Petit Port towards lunchtime.
Winds: Variable force 2-3 through the morning, increasing to force 5 NE’ly by late afternoon and then force 6-7 by evening. (Although that evening tide will not be anywhere near high enough to cause flooding, those winds will cause some big splashes along the east coast road, so be careful if you are having a night out in that area).
Temperatures: 7-8C throughout the day and the night.
Tides: Highs of 9.5m at 9:30am and 8.9m at 10pm. Low of 1.4m at 4pm.
The morning will probably have some brightness, but the afternoon will probably be rather cloudy and perhaps showery.
However, the gale force NE’ly airflow will really make the north and east coasts feel a lot less pleasant than the west and south. The south coast cliff paths will offer the best shelter by far, so places like Petit Port, Start Point or Le Gouffre could still be ok for walkers and runners.
Surfers! Gale-force onshore winds usually sounds like a nightmare, but many people will know that this can be good news for Pembroke. Head there during the morning or lunchtime for some exhausting 6-foot shorebreak fun.
Winds: Gale force 7-8 NE’ly, gradually veering to force 6-7 E’ly through the evening and night.
Temperatures: 7C through the day, dropping to 6C overnight.
Tides: High at 10:10am (8.8m). Low at 4:40pm (2m).
MONDAY AND TUESDAY
Probably dry on both days, with a mixture of cloud and hazy sunshine.
Monday will be 6-7C but feel colder than that, due to a fresh to strong E’ly wind. There won’t be many places to shelter from that one I’m afraid. Probably Petit Port and L’Eree and Cobo will be best, but only by a whisker.
Tuesday will have a more moderate SE’ly airflow, but we won’t lose that chilly feeling because this time the actual temperature will plummet to 4-5C. If the wind is light enough around dawn, then there could well be ground-frost in places.
Surfers! Look out for super-clean 3-foot waves arriving at west-coast beaches from lunchtime onwards.
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY
Warmer, wetter air from the Atlantic will butt up against our cold continental airflow. This is usually the kind of situation that gets snow-lovers excited but I don’t think it is going to be quite cold enough for that, and I’m not even sure that the weather-fronts will manage to penetrate far enough east to give us any precipitation at all (rain, sleet or snow).
Similarly uncertain is the surf, which has the potential to be excellent on both days, probably increasing in size to 6 feet or more, but very much at the mercy of the wind, which will depend on the progress of those previously mentioned weather-fronts. If we do get lucky, and gang on to a SE’ly wind, then the small tides will mean good waves at pretty much anytime, but particularly during the lunchtime sessions.
The next forecast update will be on Sunday.